← Brood en Spelen HVN Regionals
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Brood en Spelen HVN Regionals
decks
2
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-3-1
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.5%
avg ELO +7.1 per match
expected value
52.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1271
· median 1271
· range 1145–1396
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1074
Q1 1173
Q3 1415
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 17.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 61.4% | +11.0 |
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Water Fractal | 13.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.6% | +5.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
